Wednesday, May 28, 2014

WHAT IS HAPPENING IN TURKEY: UNDERSTANDING THE CONFLICT – IMPACT ON TURKEY’S FOREIGN RELATIONS

Today, I would like to change the course of my “what is happening in Turkey” articles from internal politics to an international spectrum and put the spotlight on how recent developments are impacting Turkey’s foreign relations as well as its image in the world community. Turkey is facing a paradigm shift in its foreign relations. Once with an objective to have a policy of zero problems with its neighbors, Turkey is now at a point where there are no neighbors or former allies without a problem due to Erdogan’s authoritarian practices and bellicose rhetoric over massive corruption and bribery scandal.

Turkey already has a negative image in the international arena concerning its records of freedom of expression, government corruption, freedom of press, and human rights. As I was writing thIS article, The European Parliament (AP) approved a blistering report on March 12, 2014 criticizing Turkey for impediments in the areas of “fundamental freedoms, independence of the judiciary, freedom of expression and others.” EP’s report came following the recent developments in Turkey with regard to Erdogan’s and his government’s involvement in high-level corruption, money laundering with Iran, tender fraud at massive scales, the immediate removal of the police officers and public prosecutors in charge of the investigations, and passing of new laws aiming at obstructing the investigations just to name a few. It is ironic that AK Party owed its initial success 12 years ago to its party program that prioritized the fight against corruption. This strategy proved successful when they got the majority votes at a turbulent time when the oligarchy was trying to close AK Party down.

Erdogan’s authoritarian practices and angry rhetoric are not only polarizing people in Turkey, but also causing conflicts with other governments. Unfortunately, this is not just limited to the European Union (EU), which has expectations for further democratic reforms from Turkey as a candidate to join the Union. As a reaction to the graft probe, Erdogan didn’t lose time to blame internal and external circles to be behind the “plot” and named Israel, the United States, and Germany for orchestrating a “judicial coup” against his government and he accused the Hizmet movement without evidence for being part of the efforts. He even directly targeted the US ambassador Ricciardone accusing him of engagement in the actions and threatened him publicly to send him back. Following his remarks, the pro-government media (turns out majority secretly owned by Erdogan himself) orchestrated verbal attacks on the ambassador.

Erdogan’s accusations and outcry was an attempt to divert attention from probes, manipulate public opinion and keep his blind followers intact. This was the main reason as to why he resorted to a nationalistic rhetoric at the outset and blamed “foreign powers” and “interest lobbies” for plotting a “coup” against his government referring to probe investigations. This wasn’t the only time Erdogan used such rhetoric against foreign states. When GEZI protests took place just a couple months before graft probes in December, Erdogan had once again blamed internal and external circles for being behind the protests.

When his support base and the pro-AKP media started resonating with the same message all across the board and supported his attempts to reshuffle the judiciary, it was time for Erdogan to send the Foreign Minister, Davutoglu, to the United States of America in an effort to make up and visited Germany to meet with Angela Merkel for the same reason. However, these image-saving trips did not bring about any changes to already-broken relationships. Erdogan had already created tensions with the European Union and the United States when he discredited the EU a little while ago in his speeches, threatened to join the Shanghai Five rather than the EU, and decided to purchase missile defense systems from China despite criticism. 

The leaked wiretaps also indicated that Erdogan and his close circle have involved with money laundering and gold smuggling with Iran in an effort to break sanctions over Iran. There is now new evidence that Erdogan ordered the Intelligence Agency to smuggle weapons into Syria and developed relationships with Al-Qaeda, which disturbs the United States of America to a great extent. Erdogan defended the Iranian businessman Reza Zerrab, who bribed the ministers and their sons, when he was arrested and had him released shortly after by putting pressure on the judiciary and making the ‘necessary’ amendments to the law. He then paid a visit to Iran where he called Iran “his second home.”

His support for Iran confused many in the Middle East. The majority of the countries in the Middle East and North Africa are Muslim countries with primarily Sunni populations who have historical tensions with Shiite Iran. Yet another confusion was that although Erdogan openly condemned the bloodshed the Syrian President Bashar-al-Assad is inflicting on his own people, he developed these strong economic and political ties with Iran and Russia which proactively supported Assad regime against the West and other Sunni countries mainly Egypt and Saudi Arabia. This destroyed not only Turkey’s image among Muslim communities but also Erdogan’s very own image as a charismatic, Muslim leader who initially won a dramatic victory against the oligarchy with people’s support 12 years ago.

I believe Erdogan’s biggest mistake came into play when he couldn’t control his anger and ordered Turkish ambassadors to “tell the truth” abroad that Hizmet movement, the only and the most influential religious, non-political social group who didn’t commit to Erdogan’s way, is part of the “judicial coup” against his government in collaboration with “foreign interest lobbies.” Most ambassadors expressed displeasure over such request because this unprofessional attitude would coincide with the traditions of a democratic and powerful country with a long history.

According to recent news, Erdogan also called the officials of foreign countries himself in an effort to have them close the private schools operated by the Hizmet movement in their countries. No country has ever paid attention to such a request as this is an obvious attempt to intervene with their internal affairs. No democratic county in the world would close schools operated by private and non-profit organizations because the leader of their home country, who happens to be under investigation, wanted so.

Obama had stopped calling Erdogan for a long time until recently due mainly to his engagement with Al-Qaeda . Turns out, Erdogan also called President Obama about a week ago and told him that “he has to take the necessary stance” against the Turkish Islamic scholar, Fethullah Gulen, who currently resides in the USA. Erdogan complained about the Hizmet movement and asked Obama to turn in Gulen to him! Erdogan later told the public that Obama “got his message!”. However, in a recent briefing, the White House clearly said “the response attributed to President Obama with regard to Mr. Gulen is not accurate.” It is not hard to realize that this third world country image Erdogan depicts tarnishes Turkey’s image in the international forum as a strong and respected country.


In my conclusion, once seen as a role model for emerging democracies in the Middle East, the recent tumultuous developments surrounding graft probes against PM Erdogan and his ruling Justice and Development Party have the potential to lead to a reassessment of Turkey’s role as a leading figure in the region.  Such an image can, in turn, inflict irreparable damage on the credibility of Turkey in the international realm of politics unless the Turkish people stop the nonsense at the ballot box and  hold everyone responsible accountable.

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